Capital Markets Insights | 20 Jan - 24 Jan

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• Equities: U.S. stocks continued their rally to new heights this week, with the S&P 500 climbing 1.7% despite a dip in chipmakers on Friday. The week ended with the market posting its best start for a presidential term since Reagan in 1985, buoyed by President Trump's policies aimed at boosting the economy and lowering taxes. However, the market took a breather near all-time highs, reflecting caution around new tariff policies, though Trump appeared to soften his stance on China tariffs. This optimism is tempered by the anticipation of how Trump's economic policies will unfold, with Wall Street reacting positively to the initial moderate approach to trade.

• Gold prices saw some volatility this week, with investors torn between the safety of gold amidst political uncertainties and the allure of riskier assets in light of the promising economic policies from the new administration. The price of gold fluctuated with a general upward trend, but exact figures weren't specified. The market remains sensitive to any indications of inflation or further policy announcements that might impact currency values.

• Oil markets experienced a slight dip, with Brent and WTI futures both seeing marginal declines. This was influenced by a mix of geopolitical tensions and expectations around U.S. energy policy under Trump. However, the market remains stable, with traders watching closely for any policy shifts that might affect demand or supply dynamics.

• Cryptocurrency markets were highlighted by the news of Semler Scientific dramatically increasing its Bitcoin investment goals to $85 million, signaling strong institutional interest in crypto. Meanwhile, the crypto market is on the cusp of an executive order from President Trump, which could set a precedent for how the new administration views digital currencies. The $TRUMP meme coin held steady, underlining the cultural impact of Trump's presidency on crypto markets.

• The Japanese Yen emerged as one of the strongest currencies this week, benefiting from a flight to safety amid global uncertainties and a relatively dovish stance from the Bank of Japan compared to other central banks. The Euro also showed strength against the dollar, as markets digest the implications of Trump's policies on international trade and investment.

• Inauguration Day: Donald Trump was sworn in as the 47th President on Jan 20, 2025, with the ceremony taking place amidst a backdrop of national political division. His first day in office was marked by several executive actions:
• Pardons: Trump issued pardons for more than 1,500 individuals convicted for their roles in the January 6, 2021, Capitol riot, causing immediate market reactions by signaling a potential shift in legal accountability for political actions. This move was seen as a way to appease his voter base but raised concerns about the rule of law's integrity.
• Trade: Although there was no immediate imposition of new China tariffs, Trump's rhetoric left room for speculation, causing the dollar to slump as markets anticipated his trade policy direction. His comments on trade relations and tariffs influenced market sentiment, with investors adopting a "wait and see" approach.
• Crypto Policy: Trump's signing of a crypto executive order was a significant move, potentially setting the tone for U.S. crypto regulation. This could impact the crypto market's trajectory by providing clearer regulatory frameworks or creating new uncertainties.

This Week's Top Gainer in US Markets (excluding small caps under $2B market cap)

• Company: OKLO (Oklo Inc.)

• Gain: 60.54%

This Week's Top Loser

• Company: AGYS (Agilysys Inc)

• Gain: -24.28%

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