Capital Markets Insights | 07 April - 11 April

Stock analysis and capital markets insights for smarter investing

Apr 12, 2025
Dear Investor,
The markets went on a wild rollercoaster ride this week, zigzagging like they were dodging trade policy curveballs and economic jitters!
 
US
S&P500 closed at 5,363.36 and Nasdaq at 18,690.05 with 5.70% and 7.43% gains respectively for the week.
YTD S&P500 is down 8.81% and Nasdaq 11.05%.
 
GOLD
The precious metal benefited from investors seeking safety due to tariff-related fears and economic turbulence, maintaining its status as a hedge against market volatility. It closed at $3,236.21 which is 6.55% gain for the week and a remarkable YTD performance of 23.34%.
 
OIL
WTI crude oil prices were under pressure, reflecting concerns about global demand and trade disruptions.
It closed at $61 which was 1.82% drop for the week and a YTD performance of -14.76%.
 
FOREX
Strongest Currency: The Euro (EUR) showed relative strength, with EUR/USD trading at 1.13. The euro’s resilience was tied to a weaker dollar amid tariff-driven uncertainty. Weakest Currency: The U.S. Dollar (USD) was among the weaker performers, as the dollar index (DXY) softened. This was due to market expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and concerns about U.S. trade policies impacting economic growth.
 
CRYPTO
Crypto remained reactive to risk-off sentiment, moving in line with broader market trends. Bitcoin ended the week around $83,000 after dipping to a weekly low of $75,000. It posted a weekly return of -0.18% and is down 11% year-to-date.
 
Economic Calendar Highlights
CPI ( YoY)closed lower than expectations at 2.4% exp 2.5%, previous 2.8%
 
Top Market News
  1. Trump’s Tariff Threats and Trade War Escalation:
      • The U.S. has raised tariffs on Chinese imports to as high as 145%, escalating trade tensions. In response, China imposed retaliatory tariffs of up to 125% on U.S. goods. The moves are straining global trade, raising costs, and fueling economic uncertainty.
  1. Federal Reserve and Interest Rate Expectations:
      • Comments from Fed’s Goolsbee (April 10) suggested rate cuts were still possible if the economy stabilized, boosting hopes for monetary easing.
      • The Fed’s path was complicated by tariff-driven inflation fears, limiting expected rate cuts (UBS forecasted 75–100bps for 2025).
  1. Bank Earnings and Economic Turbulence:
      • JPMorgan reported strong profits on April 11, driven by record stock trading, but CEO Jamie Dimon highlighted “considerable turbulence” from geopolitics, tariffs, inflation, and high fiscal deficits. The bank increased net reserves by $973 million, signaling caution.
 

This Week's Top Gainer in US Markets (excluding small caps under $2B market cap)

  • Gain: 36.87%
AGL shares rose as investors resumed bargain-hunting after a rating upgrade by Bernstein. The firm raised its outlook to Outperform from Market Perform and boosted the price target to $8.50 from $3.30 — a 59% upside. Bernstein cited growing confidence in AGL’s turnaround plan and reduced risk of a capital raise. The upgrade also reflected the U.S. government’s decision to significantly increase Medicare Advantage payments next year, boosting AGL’s outlook.
notion image
 

This Week's Top Loser

  • Gain: -27.14%
Charles River’s stock dropped after the FDA announced it would phase out animal testing in favor of AI methods. This shift hurt the company, which specializes in traditional animal trials. The FDA aims to replace animal testing with more effective, human-relevant methods to improve drug safety, accelerate evaluations, and lower R&D costs, potentially reducing drug prices.
notion image

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‘’It's just money; it's made up. Pieces of paper with pictures on it so we don't have to kill each other just to get something to eat. It's not wrong. And it's certainly no different today than it's ever been. 1637, 1797, 1819, 37, 57, 84, 1901, 07, 29, 1937, 1974, 1987-92, 97, 2000 and whatever we want to call this. It's all just the same thing over and over; we can't help ourselves. And you and I can't control it, or stop it, or even slow it. Or even ever-so-slightly alter it. We just react. And we make a lot money if we get it right. And we get left by the side of the side of the road if we get it wrong. And there have always been and there always will be the same percentage of winners and losers. Happy fucks and sad sacks. Fat cats and starving dogs in this world. Yeah, there may be more of us today than there's ever been. But the percentages-they stay exactly the same.
Stay sharp, Investorean! Keep an eye on your investments and take care of your yourself.
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